18,050 sqm of VR, 5D and immersive theatres where visitors relive the Hijra, the 27 Ghazawat and the battles of Badr, Uhud and Al-Khandaq — then stay to dine and shop. Base case: the operator's consolidated pro-forma (ProFun for Midwam, January 2025) on LDP's attendance forecast; LDP's lower-margin case is carried as the downside.
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| Exhibit: Experience Centre Returns | Total | Year 1 2026 | Year 2 2027 | Year 3 2028 | Year 4 2029 | Year 5 2030 | Year 6 2031 | Year 7 2032 | Year 8 2033 | Year 9 2034 | Year 10 2035 | Year 11 2036 | Year 12 2037 | Year 13 2038 | Year 14 2039 | Year 15 2040 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key assumptions | ||||||||||||||||
| Visitors, '000 (full-year equivalent) | – | – | 1,135 | 1,163 | 1,183 | 1,205 | 1,245 | 1,285 | 1,332 | 1,382 | 1,417 | 1,451 | 1,481 | 1,515 | 1,549 | |
| Revenue per visitor, SAR (admissions + F&B + retail + photo) | – | – | 92 | 95 | 97 | 99 | 101 | 103 | 106 | 108 | 110 | 113 | 116 | 118 | 121 | |
| Average admission per visitor, SAR (ProFun) | – | – | 77 | 80 | 82 | 84 | 85 | 87 | 89 | 91 | 94 | 96 | 98 | 100 | 102 | |
| Trading factor (opening year 25%) | – | – | 0.25 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| EBITDA margin after management fees | – | – | 27.8% | 31.6% | 32.5% | 32.9% | 34.1% | 35.4% | 36.6% | 37.9% | 38.8% | 39.6% | 40.4% | 41.1% | 41.8% | |
| Operations | ||||||||||||||||
| Revenue | 1,776,939 | – | – | 26,082 | 110,519 | 115,216 | 119,075 | 125,825 | 132,794 | 140,706 | 149,264 | 156,540 | 163,825 | 171,073 | 178,880 | 187,140 |
| EBITDA | Experience Centre (after operator fees) | 663,289 | – | – | 7,251 | 34,928 | 37,412 | 39,212 | 42,964 | 46,946 | 51,539 | 56,584 | 60,793 | 64,932 | 69,029 | 73,475 | 78,224 |
| Koushan Asset Management Fee | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Land Lease (revenue share) | (35,539) | – | – | (522) | (2,210) | (2,304) | (2,382) | (2,516) | (2,656) | (2,814) | (2,985) | (3,131) | (3,276) | (3,421) | (3,578) | (3,743) |
| Land Lease Cost (allocated) | (20,779) | – | – | (1,222) | (1,630) | (1,630) | (1,630) | (1,630) | (1,630) | (1,630) | (1,630) | (1,630) | (1,630) | (1,630) | (1,630) | (1,630) |
| SPV overheads (allocated) | (114,825) | – | – | (3,922) | (8,039) | (8,240) | (8,446) | (8,657) | (8,874) | (9,096) | (9,323) | (9,556) | (9,795) | (10,040) | (10,291) | (10,548) |
| Component NOI | 492,146 | – | – | 1,586 | 23,049 | 25,238 | 26,755 | 30,161 | 33,787 | 37,999 | 42,646 | 46,477 | 50,231 | 53,938 | 57,977 | 62,304 |
| Capex | ||||||||||||||||
| Structural works | 12,565 | 2,900 | 9,666 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Finishes | 11,599 | – | 6,389 | 5,210 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MEP works | 11,862 | – | 7,490 | 4,372 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Landscaping, water features & infrastructure | 11,032 | 458 | 5,355 | 5,219 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Experience Centre content & AV systems | 60,000 | – | 21,800 | 38,200 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Contingency & project management reserves | 2,542 | 356 | 1,593 | 593 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Design, supervision, fees & permits | 4,745 | 2,999 | 1,356 | 390 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Marketing, rent & administration during construction | 2,033 | 153 | 508 | 1,373 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Pre-opening (within the SAR 550M cap) | 18,200 | – | 2,475 | 15,725 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Total CapEx | 134,578 | 6,865 | 56,632 | 71,081 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Net Cash | 357,568 | (6,865) | (56,632) | (69,496) | 23,049 | 25,238 | 26,755 | 30,161 | 33,787 | 37,999 | 42,646 | 46,477 | 50,231 | 53,938 | 57,977 | 62,304 |
| Exit Value at exhibit cap (final year, leasehold-adjusted) | 614,008 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 614,008 |
| Net Cashflows including TV | 971,576 | (6,865) | (56,632) | (69,496) | 23,049 | 25,238 | 26,755 | 30,161 | 33,787 | 37,999 | 42,646 | 46,477 | 50,231 | 53,938 | 57,977 | 676,311 |
| Experience Centre IRR | 26.2% | |||||||||||||||
SAR'000 unless stated. Years 1–15 = 2026–2040; exit in Year 15 (2040) at a 10% cap rate adjusted for the leasehold to 2074; before zakat and VAT recovery. Total investment capped at SAR 550M including pre-opening; shared budget items allocated by built-up area; fixed land rent and SPV overheads (which cover the asset-management role — no separate Koushan fee) shared between the Experience Centre and retail in proportion to stabilised 2032 revenue, none to the hotel; hotel is Phase 2 (construction from 2027 after the construction permit and Al-Maqr approval). Source: Mayadeen Park Financing Model v1.0 (22 Oct 2026).
| SAR million | GMP budget | Retail | Experience Centre | Hotel (Phase 2) | Total within cap | Pre-opening offset |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Structural works | 130.0 | 48.8 | 12.6 | 48.8 | 110.2 | (19.8) |
| Finishes | 120.0 | 45.1 | 11.6 | 45.1 | 101.7 | (18.3) |
| MEP works | 70.0 | 31.9 | 11.9 | 26.3 | 70.0 | — |
| Landscaping, water features & infrastructure | 65.1 | 29.6 | 11.0 | 24.4 | 65.1 | — |
| Hotel FF&E (net of pre-opening) | 50.0 | — | — | 35.0 | 35.0 | (15.0) |
| Experience Centre content & AV systems | 60.0 | — | 60.0 | — | 60.0 | — |
| Contingency reserve | 11.0 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 4.1 | 11.0 | — |
| Project management reserve | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 4.0 | — |
| Design | 15.0 | 6.8 | 2.5 | 5.6 | 15.0 | — |
| Supervision | 8.0 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 8.0 | — |
| Fees & permits | 5.0 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 5.0 | — |
| Marketing & pre-opening (within GMP) | 7.0 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 2.6 | 7.0 | — |
| Rent & administration during construction | 5.0 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 5.0 | — |
| Hard cost (construction) | 510.1 | 162.2 | 109.6 | 185.2 | 457.1 | (53.0) |
| Soft cost | 40.0 | 18.2 | 6.8 | 15.0 | 40.0 | — |
| Pre-opening (added within the cap) | — | 19.8 | 18.2 | 15.0 | 53.0 | 53.0 |
| TOTAL INVESTMENT | 550.1 | 200.3 | 134.6 | 215.3 | 550.1 | — |
The contractor's GMP breakdown (510 construction + 40 soft) with all pre-opening absorbed inside the SAR 550M cap: hotel pre-opening (15) comes out of the FF&E & preparation line (FF&E 35); Centre (18.2) and retail (19.8) pre-opening are offset pro-rata against structural works and finishes. Shared items allocated by built-up area; direct items to their component.
| ProFun consolidated pro-forma, SAR M | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 | 2036 | 2037 | 2038 | 2039 | 2040 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue per visitor (SAR) | 92 | 95 | 97 | 99 | 101 | 103 | 106 | 108 | 110 | 113 | 116 | 118 | 121 |
| Implied visitors ('000) | 1,135 | 1,163 | 1,183 | 1,205 | 1,245 | 1,285 | 1,332 | 1,382 | 1,417 | 1,451 | 1,481 | 1,515 | 1,549 |
| Total revenue (ex-VAT) | 104.3 | 110.5 | 115.2 | 119.1 | 125.8 | 132.8 | 140.7 | 149.3 | 156.5 | 163.8 | 171.1 | 178.9 | 187.1 |
| Cost of sales | (9.6) | (10.1) | (10.5) | (10.9) | (11.5) | (12.2) | (12.9) | (13.6) | (14.3) | (14.9) | (15.6) | (16.3) | (17.0) |
| Operating expenses (labour + non-labour) | (52.6) | (58.2) | (59.6) | (61.0) | (62.9) | (64.8) | (66.8) | (68.9) | (70.8) | (72.7) | (74.7) | (76.8) | (78.9) |
| Gross operating profit | 42.1 | 42.2 | 45.0 | 47.1 | 51.4 | 55.9 | 61.0 | 66.7 | 71.5 | 76.2 | 80.8 | 85.8 | 91.2 |
| Management fees (Midwam) | (5.1) | (5.2) | (5.5) | (5.7) | (6.2) | (6.6) | (7.2) | (7.8) | (8.3) | (8.7) | (9.2) | (9.7) | (10.3) |
| EBITDA | 37.0 | 37.0 | 39.5 | 41.4 | 45.2 | 49.2 | 53.9 | 59.0 | 63.2 | 67.4 | 71.6 | 76.1 | 80.9 |
| EBITDA margin | 35.5% | 33.5% | 34.3% | 34.7% | 35.9% | 37.1% | 38.3% | 39.5% | 40.4% | 41.2% | 41.8% | 42.5% | 43.2% |
Source: ProFun Pro Forma Business Plan Rev.1, 18 January 2025, "Consolidated financial performance projections". Full-year figures; the model applies a 25% trading factor to the Q4 2028 opening year and deducts a SAR 2M (inflated) annual content-refresh reserve.